SIGNAL LEDGER

Track Record

Two separate records are published: frozen earnings forecasts, and the model portfolios. Neither is rewritten after the fact.

Earnings Forecast Track Record

Every earnings call is frozen before the release with its information cutoff, then graded against the reported result and the recorded target-session close. The ledger lives on the research dashboard so it stays next to the evidence it grades.

Frozen probabilities, Brier scores, direction hits and relative returns are published in the Earnings Desk and the Full Forecast Scorecard on the research dashboard.

Open the earnings ledger →

Model Portfolio Track Record

Model portfolio performance since inception
PortfolioInceptionNAVTotal returnBenchmarkExcessMax drawdownDetails
Signal Ledger Pick-NY2026-01-02124.8+24.8%+13.5%+11.3%−52.5%Open →

The benchmark is the S&P 500 total-return proxy, normalised to 100 on the same inception session as each portfolio.

Disclosure

Signal Ledger Picks are research model portfolios, not brokerage accounts, investment funds, or personalized investment advice. Model performance may differ from real-world investable returns.