FREE SAMPLEComplete public analysis

Explore the businesses behind a valuation.

AMD and SPCX are complete free examples — the same structure all company research uses, free to read. Open either one and read every section end to end.

FREE SAMPLE · AMDComplete public analysis

Advanced Micro Devices: AI demand only creates value if it turns into cash.

The question

AI accelerators can grow quickly while requiring heavy investment in design, manufacturing and software. The key question is how much cash remains for shareholders after those costs, and how long the advantage lasts.

What to examine

Read data-center segment revenue against research and development, capital spending and operating margin. Customer concentration matters, as does the difference between hyperscaler demand today and the durability of that demand across a product cycle.

How the valuation works

The dated business model forecasts each business's net profit, applies a chosen P/E multiple, and discounts the resulting equity value. The new financial-report section separately shows current reported revenue and an editable cash-flow allocation scenario. Their dates, methods and assumptions differ.

Bear

AI accelerator demand normalizes faster than expected and margins compress as competition responds.

Base

Data-center share gains convert into durable cash generation as the platform matures.

Bull

Sustained demand and improving mix justify higher revenue, margin and multiple.

What would change the conclusion?

Look for sustained free cash flow after investment, evidence that data-center wins are converting into cash, and how the competitive set changes. Faster revenue growth alone does not settle the valuation.

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FREE SAMPLE · SPCXComplete public analysis

Space Exploration Technologies: separate today's businesses from future possibilities.

The question

How much value comes from launch, Starlink connectivity and the AI compute build-out today, and how much depends on Starship and other businesses that may develop later? Combining them into one growth assumption hides the biggest uncertainties.

What to examine

Review reported segment revenue, adjusted EBITDA and capital spending across Space, Connectivity and AI. For newer businesses, look for technical progress, commercial demand, regulatory standing and a plausible path to profit.

How the valuation works

A sum-of-the-parts model values each business separately. Reported segments use financial anchors; uncertain future businesses use explicit scenario trees with probabilities. Cash, debt and diluted shares connect the parts to a value per share.

Bear

Capital intensity stays high and newer businesses take longer to commercialize.

Base

Reported segments support value while future businesses receive limited, evidence-based value.

Bull

Profitable new services scale, backed by commercial and operating evidence.

What would change the conclusion?

Track durable operating profit and cash generation, then test whether future-business milestones arrive on schedule. A higher share price is not evidence that an operating assumption has been achieved.

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Current price
What the stock recently traded at. Check the quote time before using it.
Fair value
The model's estimate of what a share is worth, based on business assumptions. It is not a promised future price.
Upside / downside
The gap between fair value and current price. A large positive gap needs strong evidence; it does not guarantee a gain.
Bear / Base / Bull
A weaker, central and stronger modeled outcome. The range shows how much the answer can change.
Rating
The research view after considering value and uncertainty. WATCH means there is not enough conviction for a stronger view.
Confidence
How well the evidence and models support the estimate. It is not the probability of making money.
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